Polymarket sharps had it right, Gemini Flash 3.0 was released on December 17th, 2025.

Previously written off as no chance, suddenly December 17th is seen as a strong possible launch date.

December 18th release likelihood suddenly jumps from zero to 88%. A launch before December 18th is seen as only a 5% chance.

An anonymous source within Gemini's engineering team reportedly disclosed that final testing for the Gemini 3.0 Flash is on track for a December 22nd release, prompting traders to rapidly adjust their bets accordingly.