Polymarket signalled the news first and the early signal proved to be correct.
Architects of AI has emerged to be the clear favorite with the clock winding down. Both AI and Jensen Huang have been left in the dust, with only around 2% and 1% chance being assigned to each outcome, respectively. Interestingly, another Polymarket has been created to wager whether or not Time's 2025 Person of the Year will be leaked or not and that market is currently showing a 94% chance that it will be leaked. Based off the price action, it seems that the result is known by some insiders already and the result is likely to be "Architects of AI".
In the last two weeks, Jensen Huang has gone from "no chance" to almost neck and neck with AI for the crown of Time's Person of the Year 2025. Market participants now see Huang as a 33% chance and Artificial Intelligence as a 36% chance. Third place is Pope Leo XIV way back at just 9% implied chance.
In the last week, AI's dominant position has slipped from 40.5% to just 31% chance of winning. Market participants now see a 69% chance of someone other than AI winning TIME's 2025 Person of the Year.
Traders reportedly rushed to back AI as the 2025 Time Person of the Year after a major breakthrough in language model capabilities, according to sources familiar with the matter. The advance, which reportedly allows the model to engage in more natural and contextual dialogue, is seen as a significant step toward artificial general intelligence.
AI flips Pope Leo as the favorite to win
A new policy paper from a prominent think tank reportedly argued that AI systems will have an outsized influence on global affairs in the coming years, driving traders to increase bets on an AI Time Person of the Year. The paper, citing expert analysis, suggested AI could fundamentally reshape industries, geopolitics, and social dynamics by 2025.