Traders speculated that waning momentum in Epstein-related prosecutions drove the 3.5-point decline in odds of anyone being jailed over the disclosures. With no new indictments announced and the statute of limitations concerns looming for potential charges, market participants appeared to lose confidence in criminal accountability. The drop suggests traders are pricing in diminishing likelihood of high-profile arrests as time passes since the initial document releases, with legal experts noting the challenges of building cases years after alleged crimes.